Earnings Play Signals
AI identifies optimal options strategies around earnings announcements — from pre-earnings IV expansion plays to post-earnings momentum continuation.
How It Works
Earnings play signals leverage the predictable volatility cycle around quarterly reports. Our AI analyzes historical earnings reactions (magnitude, direction), current implied volatility vs. realized volatility, options market pricing of the expected move, and fundamental indicators (whisper numbers, analyst revision momentum). Strategies include pre-earnings IV expansion (buying options before IV rises), straddles/strangles for expected large moves, and post-earnings momentum trades when results trigger breakouts.
Earnings calendar monitoring with AI-estimated move magnitude
IV rank and IV percentile analysis — identifies when options are cheap or expensive relative to historical norms
Expected move calculation from options pricing vs. historical actual moves
Strategy selection: straddle, strangle, iron condor, or directional play based on setup
Post-earnings momentum tracking for continuation trades
Sample Signal
Earnings in 3 days. IV rank 82 — options pricing a ±8% move. Historical average is ±10%. Straddle underpriced. Analyst revisions trending positive. Signal note: long straddle setup flagged for review.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is IV crush and how do your signals handle it?
IV crush is the rapid decline in implied volatility after an earnings announcement. Our signals account for this by recommending strategies that benefit from IV changes (selling premium before crush) or are explicitly designed to overcome it (only recommending long options when the expected move significantly exceeds options pricing).
How far before earnings should I enter?
It depends on the strategy. IV expansion plays are best entered 5-10 days before earnings. Straddles/strangles typically 2-3 days before. Post-earnings momentum trades are entered the day after. Each signal includes specific timing guidance.
How do you review outcomes on earnings signals?
Earnings signal outcomes are logged in the dashboard with timestamps, entry zones, and exit context so you can review how the setup behaved. Results vary significantly by regime and event type, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Related Signal Types
Options Flow
AI tracks unusual options activity — large block trades, sweeps, and dark pool prints that reveal what institutional money is doing before the stock moves.
Volatility Play
AI exploits mispriced volatility — selling expensive options when IV is too high, buying cheap options when IV is too low.
Momentum Breakout
AI detects when a stock breaks above key resistance on surging volume — the classic sign of institutional buying. Get alerted before the crowd notices.
Tradewink provides market data and analytics tools. Signals are informational only and do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Tradewink is not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. All trading decisions are made solely by you. Trading involves risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.